A survey conducted by two independent research firms has projected that President Goodluck Jonathan of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) would defeat All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential candidate, General Muhammadu Buhari, in next Saturday’s presidential elections with at least a margin of 17%.
The survey was carried out by Chike Uchime of FORWARD MAGAZINE and Daniel Dickson-Okezie of Zevland Ventures Limited
According to the report of the survey, contrary to earlier projections that General Buhari’s party (the APC) would capture, wholesale, the votes of the South West geo-political zone, the reality on ground today, as revealed by an independent survey, is that President Jonathan has unlocked the pathway to even out votes in that region.
Using 24,000 sample size across 33 states and the FCT, to decide through an Opinion Survey who will win the presidential election, the outcome of the research exercise was based on three critical factors: (1) The respondents’ views on the achievements or performance of the President from 2011 to date and to see how this can affect his chances in the coming election; (2) The correlation between the outcome of the 2011 Presidential Election and the likely outcome of the 2015 Presidential Election; (3) A detailed study of the various dynamics that have taken place since 2011 and the likely impact on the outcome of the 2015 Presidential Election.
According to the survey, “When asked which of the two main political parties they preferred, 65 percent of the respondents opted for PDP, while 31 percent favoured the APC.
The survey report highlighted the dynamics that have taken place since the 2011 election
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